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September 06, 2009

Station Fire Moves Towards 2002 Curve Fire Burn

 
The Curve Fire burned over 20,000 acres in the Angeles National Forest along Highway 39 in September 2002. It appears the Station Fire is destined to meet the old burn as it moves steadily towards the mountain highway. Early on in the Station Fire Commander Dietrich stated his intention to keep the fire west of Highway 39.

Curve Fire can be seen in green in the image (click to enlarge)

I expect Dietrich has people on Highway 39 and has pulled up the old Curve Fire maps to look at old fire roads, breaks and reports. Recall Dietrich's tactics from the Zaca Fire when he drew the line in the sand on that fire's advancement at Highway 134 above Ojai. A fierce battle was waged by hundreds of firefighters and numerous aircraft on Highway 134 and the 240,000 acre monster fire died there.

The Fire has burned over 157,000 acres and is just over 50% contained. The latest InciWeb update has a detailed discussion of the fire's overnight activity and the Station Fire perimeter. That map is posted below.

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August 14, 2009

La Brea Fire Estimated Over 100,000 Acres

 
No, this is not a government estimate, draw your own conclusion as I have. The Zaca Fire burned over 230,000 acres in 2007 and took two full months (60 days) to control. The La Brea Fire has burned about a week and has consumed nearly half the acreage of the Zaca.

Look at the image below. The Zaca burn is the purple outlined area south of the La Brea. You will note the La Brea has actually entered the two year old Zaca vegetation and appears to be established in the old burn.

What can we expect from here. If the current weather pattern persists we could see the Le Brea continue its E/SE trajectory and burn all the way to Highway 33, just like the Zaca Fire. This outcome is weather dependent, little done by the fire command so far has managed to stem the rapid growth.

Please follow my Twitter updates here.

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August 12, 2009

La Brea Fire Meets Zaca Fire Perimeter

 
The La Brea Fire has pushed hard to the south and has met the two year old boundary of the Zaca Fire. The current acreage is presented as 25,000 or so but that is a fabrication, this fire is double that if the GeoMac heat impressions are accurate.


So what happens now? We know the Zaca Fire dozer lines are still in place so firefighters can anchor off those. Sisquoc Creek also offers a key potential fuel break for firefighters. If the La Brea blaze spots over and into the Zaca burn it will find two year old growth, a far cry from the 80 year growth it is feeding from currently.

I expect the fire to keep moving east as well as west. At this pace anything north of the Zaca perimeter that is green in the image above will burn. I would be surprised if this fire is held to under 100,000 acres.

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August 10, 2009

Zaca Fire Remembered

 
I found this video essay embedded on Google Earth. The photos are put to the soundtrack of the movie Braveheart. In an odd way it works. Both the fire and movie were epics. As we are reminded at the end of this essay the Zaca Fire burned for 2 months and claimed over 240,000 acres.



With the La Brea blaze about to touch the edge of the Zaca burn it is appropriate to reacquaint ourselves with the fire potential of this region.

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August 09, 2009

La Brea Fire update

 
Setting aside my earlier stated opinion on this fire I have to say this is the most impressive fire in California this season. With no real anchor points apparent due to a 360 degree fire front, fighting this budding monster is a moot point at the moment.

The La Brea Fire looks to have taken at least 15,000 acres in less than 24 hours. The area has not been visited by fire (to any extent) in decades. If the fire proceeds south it bumps against the 2007 Zaca burn. North or east and it can bump into the relatively flat Carrizo Plain.

As it moves northeast it will only impact more of the San Rafael Wilderness and the Los Padres National Forest. A run due west could impact the Santa Maria and Olivo (think Neverland) communities. There is no way the city of Santa Maria will see flames in town but the air quality could be serious. Fortunately the prevailing winds are on shore which should help keep the air breathable.

Here is a map showing the affected region.


For perspective from a wider view have a look at the radar shot below. The fire can be located by the white dot and smoke lower center in the image.

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September 15, 2007

Desiree's Zaca Fire Photo Array

 
If you follow this blog regularly you know I am a huge fan of Copter Chick Desiree Horton. As you may know Desiree and her crew spent many weeks on the Zaca Fire. Click here to view her unbelievable images of the Zaca Fire from the air.

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August 29, 2007

Zaca Incident Firefighter Suffers Serious Leg Injury

 
The Zaca Fire, or Zaca Two Fire as it is being referred to is better than 95% contained but still incurring damage. The Santa Barbara Daily Sound covers the story of injured 20 year old Kern County Firefighter John Lee;

"A firefighter from Kern County sustained serious injuries after falling 30 feet while working on containment lines for the Zaca Fire in the Sisquoc River area on Sunday, fire officials said.
Josh Lee, 20, suffered an open compound fracture of his lower left leg, as well as other minor fractures, County Fire Spokesman Eli Iskow said.

“We hoisted him out with County Air Support Helicopter 309 with a rescue hoist and a county fire paramedic on board,” Iskow said. “He was flown to Cottage Hospital and he had his tibia pinned [Sunday] night.”
Lee, a first-year crew member with Democrat Crew 87 from Kern County, will remain under observation and treatment for his other injuries for the next few days, officials said."




View Larger Map

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August 26, 2007

Budget Contrasts California vs. Idaho

 
The Zaca Fire to date has consumed 240,000 acres and has cost taxpayers $100 million.

The Cascade Complex Fire has eaten 225,000 acres at a cost of $35 million.

Both fires are more than one month old with containment dates extending into September.

Both fires were mainly confined to Federal lands. Zaca in the Los Padres National Forest, San Rafael Wilderness and Dick Smith Wilderness, while the Cascade Complex burned Boise National Forest, Payette and Salmon-Challis National Forests.

At one point there were 3,200 firefighter and support personnel on the Zaca Fire. Total personnel on the Cascade Complex never exceeded 1,200.

Forty firefighters have been injured to date on the Zaca Fire while nine firefighter injuries have been reported on the Cascade Complex Fire.

If Fed heads ever get around to investigating this disparity their discussions might center on decisions made once the Zaca Fire entered the San Rafael Wilderness.

The results of those decisions was enormous, not the least of which nearly the whole of two national wilderness areas burned.

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August 25, 2007

Zaca Fire Busts $100 Million, 83% Containment

 
Firefighters are still working hard on the Zaca Fire, the second largest wildfire in California history. As the fire "winds down" weather continues to challenge ground and air crews.
Below is a wind prediction chart that shows unfavorable winds developing over the next 24 hours.

Image/Chart SCWHC

The fire perimeter map shows uncovered fire line on two fronts.

(Map from Inciweb)

Incident Statistics Inciweb.

Saturday, August 25, 2007 8:00 AM

  • Fire Status
  • Acres Burned: 238,968 acres
  • Acreage Increase (last 12 hours): 2732 acres
  • Fireline to Build: 6 miles
  • Date Started: July 4, 2007 at 10:53 am
  • Percent Contained: 83 percent
  • Expected Containment: September 7, 2007
  • Injuries: 40
  • Structures Threatened: 66
  • Structures Destroyed: 1 outbuilding
  • Cost to date: $101 million dollars

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August 22, 2007

Ikhana, NASA's Image Drone Aids Firefighters

 
Ikhana is the name of NASA'a unmanned aircraft put in use last week on the Zaca Fire.

From NASA;

"A Predator B unmanned aircraft system has joined the inventory of research aircraft at NASA's Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, Calif. Built by General Atomics Aeronautical Systems Inc. of San Diego, NASA took possession of the aircraft during the fall of 2006. The aircraft has been given the Choctaw Nation name "Ikhana"(pronounced ee-kah-nah), which means intelligent.

Designed for long-endurance, high-altitude flight, Ikhana will be flown primarily on Earth science missions under the Earth Science Capability Demonstrations project at NASA Dryden. It will also be used for advanced aircraft systems research and technology development."


Images from NASA (links above and below)

NASA issued this press release and within claim;

""The images from the flight demonstrated that this technology has a future in helping us fight wild land fires," stated Zaca Incident Commander Mike Dietrich. "We could see little on the ground since the fire was generating a lot of smoke and burning in a very remote and inaccessible area. This technology captured images through the smoke and provided real time information on what the fire was doing," said Dietrich. NASA's Ikhana, a Predator B remotely piloted aircraft adapted for civil missions, is flying its first operational effort during a series of four or five missions over the western states. Its sensor payload is collecting detailed thermal-infrared imagery of wildfires and is demonstrating the ability of unmanned aircraft systems to collect data continuously for 12 to 24 hours. The second flight in the series, a mission that will take Ikhana over Idaho and last an estimated 20 hours, is scheduled for Thursday, Aug. 23."

It honestly beats me how Ikhana can house a camera any better than a human piloted aircraft. At least with a drone no pilot is in danger
.

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Zaca Commander Honored At "Outgoing" Reception

 
Legendary comedian Jonathan Winters, toasted outgoing Zaca Fire Commander Bill Molumby and his (timed out) 40 man team at an "outgoing reception" on the rooftop of the Santa Barbara's Hotel Adalucia.

Praise was heaped on the team by the grateful Monetcito residents in attendence.

"You are very special people and we appreciate you and what you have done for us here in Santa Barbara,” Winters said in a serious tone. And then, with his perfect comedic timing, Winters changed the mood. As he was presented with a “Team Two” cap, and honored as the first-ever celebrity Team Two honorary member, he deadpanned how he thought that appreciation might grow.

“I’ve been thinking of running for governor of California,” he said. “I’d win, you know, because I know how to pronounce ‘California.’” The audience roared with laughter and, as Winters departed, he left behind a room full of mutual admiration and genuine smiles — perfect souvenirs of our community’s appreciation!"

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Zaca Incident Winding Down

 
Text within the Zaca Fire incident 209 form this morning.

"Live Oak Zone: The fire is expected to have little active fire spread in all areas except unburned islands. Small pockets of heat expected to continue smoldering within the upper Caliente drainage. Active fire spread in the unburned islands in Santa Cruz drainage. Richardson Zone: West and North down Sisquoc River toward Sierra Madre Ridge. North to Dry Canyon, East to Hwy 33.


Live Oak Zone: Transferring out of unified command as the threat to Santa Barbara County has been mitigated. The fire has not progressed on the county jurisdiction and will be managed by the USFS. Richardson Zone: Block 16: Total zone mileage calculated at 70.1 miles. Contained zone mileage = 35.8 miles. A Precautionary Evacuation Order is in place for the area west of Hwy 33 from the Santa Barbara/Ventura Co. line south to Pine Mountain Inn. Road Closure in effect on Hwy 33; Closed to all traffic from Pine Mountain Summit to Ozena. All other areas are open to residents."

Estimated Costs
to Date
$90,235,873
Size/Area
Involved
222,907 ACRES
Expected Containment
Date:
09/07/2007

That containment date will be updated soon. Costs will exceed $100 million or more as rehabilitation costs are factored in over the coming months.

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August 21, 2007

Hwy33 Not Breached, Firefighters Prevail

 
This thing is about over folks. You have to credit the incident management teams, superb piloting, skilled firing teams and brave hand and engine crews. When the chips are finally counted there will be some great stories to tell about the battle of Hwy 33 on the night of August 20.

From Santa Barbara County Fire- Zaca Fire update.

"Monday the existing fire line held even though unfavorable winds caused discontinuation of back firing operations. Firefighters are continuing to hold the line at the Monte Arido Fuel Break and the Pendola Jeepway. The fire was smoldering and creeping within the Caliente drainage with little active fire spread yesterday and fortunately is expected to progress very little. Unburned islands of fuel continue to burnout in several of the drainages. In the Richardson Zone on Monday strong winds, high temperatures, and extremely low humidity, in combination with exceptionally dry, heavy fuels in alignment with the winds and slopes again produced intense fire behavior. Aggressive suppression action with air tankers, helicopters and ground forces is ongoing along Hwy 33. Fire fighters have completed their backfiring operations from the Pine Mountain Summit North to Ozena...."

Updated statistics from Inciweb.

This is pretty much the way the final Zaca Fire perimeter will look.
(Click to expand)

Acres Burned: 220,863 acres

Acreage Increase (last 12 hours): 5,171 acres

Date Started: July 4, 2007 at 10:53 am

Percent Contained: 77 percent

Expected Containment: September 7, 2007

Injuries: 39

Crews: 72

Engines: 139

Helicopters: 20

Air Tankers: 8

Air Attack: 3

Dozers: 55

Water Tenders: 80

Total Personnel Assigned: 3,162

Cost to Date: $ 87.5 million

Live Oak Zone: The fire is in a smoldering condition in Agua Caliente Canyon. A Direct attack with Crews and Dozers are continuing. Richardson Zone: A Precautionary Evacuation Order is in place for the area west of Hwy 33 from the Santa Barbara/Ventura Co. line south to Pine Mountain Inn. Road Closure in effect on Hwy 33; Closed to all traffic from Pine Mountain Summit to Ozena. All other areas are open to residents.

Current Wind Conditions 8 (g-16) mph NE

:-)

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Is Zaca Monster Finally Dying?

 
Wind projection graphs from SCWHC indicate wind will be favorable for firefighters and fire strategists. There will be 20 MPH winds blowing from the East and North at 2:00 pm that should push the fire away from Hwy 33 and back into the burn.

Later in the evening the winds flatten out providing firefighters a chance to firm existing lines. Provided the fire did not breach Hwy 33 overnight this wind forecast means the Eastern advance of the fire should be over.

The satellite loops last evening showed heavy smoke drift to the East and it will be interesting to read if firefighters had to chase spots. There is nothing to be found on Google News or Google Blog search and no such information has come from the incident command.

If Hwy 33 lines held overnight this fire is very close to done.



Zaca Fire -- Lat: 34° 46´ 45" Long: 120° 5´ 24"
(Left Center of Images)

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August 20, 2007

Tanker 910 Video From Zaca Fire Lines

 
Caught this on YouTube just now. If the firefighter who captured this amazing video wants to follow it with a story I would love to publish it here.



Tanker 910, (T-910) Wikipedia page.

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Zaca Fire From A Bird's Eye

 
Zaca Fire helicopter pilot Desiree Horton takes a moment before returning to 16 hour shifts to describe her activities as part of a combined assault on the mile wide flame front heading towards Hwy 33 on Friday the 17th;

"....A combined effort of the helicopters throwing fire from the dozer lines to burn towards the flame front, the water drops to stop the spots, and the ground guys who are the real heroes and in the most risky business of all slowed the fire that day. Every time a spot would cross over the line, guys on the ground would come in and attack the fire by hand, digging line around it and doing what they do down there. I even saw dozers run line right next to the spots, and these spots I’m talking are huge, taller than the dozer. I can only imagine the heat. While we flew next to the fire to throw psd balls down to stop it coming towards the line the heat was so intense even from the air. It was amazing to watch all of the ships but mostly those crews on the grounds with only their safety zones cut out by dozers to take shelter if the fire jumps the line and heads their way. The chills I experienced were from the satisfaction of getting into some risky areas and throwing fire to fight fire. It was truly amazing....." Continue reading at Desiree's Copter Chick blog.

Thank you Desiree, your unique perspective is an amazing contribution to the Zaca Fire story.


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Pivital Day For Zaca Fire Teams

 
These images come from the Southern California Wildland Fire Hazard Center. The maps show favorable (flat) winds this morning however winds will increase steadily throughout the day from the West pushing from 8 to 18 MPH.

August 20 9:00 am


August 20 5:00 pm
Fire Location; Lat: 34° 46´ 45" Long: 120° 5´ 24"
(Just above the two Channel Islands on the left side of the map)

Zaca Fire perimeter map from August 19. Source SBCFire.

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August 19, 2007

Gov. Declares State Of Emergency For Ventura County

 
It's a safe bet Governor Schwarzenegger's office is getting the skinny on the Zaca Fire when others are finding it difficult to get the whole story. Inciweb.org has been down all day today so maps and "official" information is hard to come by.

Inciweb is a government operated website that act as a repository of information on large fires nationwide.

Incident commanders or their team members upload reports to Inciweb twice daily so the general public can better understand what is happening on the ground. When Inciweb goes down it's time to put the ear to the ground or start reading tea leaves.

Maybe the Governor's people read this quote by a fire official earlier today;

"It's growing, and it may become the granddaddy of them all before this is over with," Maeton Freel, a fire information officer with the U.S. Forest Service told the Ventura County Star." LATimes

I'm looking at satellite image loops and what I am seeing is a fire with three distinct heads on a clear path NE towards Kern County through Ventura County.

Run this Image Loop and see for yourself. I'm told most of the smoke plumes are the result of firing operations so I'll go with that until something else confirms my worst thoughts.


To appreciate the terrain confronting firefighters here is a photo of the Romero Canyon area in the general area where the fire is burning on the Southwest front of the Zaca.

Image credit SB-Outdoors.

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Zaca Fire Advances Into Ventura County

 
Firing operations from Highway 33--

Highway 33 between Wheeler Gorge and Ventucopa has been closed except to local traffic only.
"Beginning at 10:00 am on Sunday, August 19th , this section of Hwy 33 will be closed to all traffic, including residents. The closure is required to safely conduct a backfire operation planned along Highway 33 from the Pine Mountain Road to Ozena. Travelers on Hwy 33 will continue be impacted while firefighters conduct firing and suppression operations and to secure the firelines on the eastern perimeter of the fire...."

Full Zaca Fire discussion available Santa Barbara County Fire.

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August 18, 2007

Sundowners, Santa Barbara's Santa Ana's

 
One class from my fire academy days that stuck in my head through the years was unique California wind phenomena that included discussion of So Cal's. Santa Ana's, Chinook or East winds in the N/E part of the state and Sundowners in Santa Barbara.

The instructors showed the class a video of dozer operators being overrun when a sundowner developed without warning. I don't recall the fire name or the extent of injuries I only remember how fast the crews were overrun.

Not much has been made of the the potential of such an event (publicly) from the Zaca Fire base but surely they are aware of the potential and keeping a keen eye.

I found a site that explains the sundowner phenomenon and it's a fascinating read.

The paper points to a sundowner fire that occurred in October 1971 below Romero Saddle that burned into and through Romero Canyon -- just SE of where the Zaca is headed.
According to the paper the Romero Saddle is one of three wind gaps in the Sana Ynez Range that invite the downhill wind.

With the area being squeezed by low pressure forming North and SE, (note image from an earlier post today) sundowners and the potential for deadly wind intensifies.
Extended area forecast discussion found here.

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